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IEA∶季節性需求或推高油價

據道瓊斯11月14日消息,國際能源署(IEA)周四警告稱,需求的季節性增長或令油價短期內面臨上行壓力。

IEA在其月度原油市場報告中稱:“若原油和成品油需求的季節性周期變化能給市場提供指引,那么近期油價的跌勢可能會相對短暫。”

自本月初以來,倫敦ICE期貨交易所十二月布倫特原油期貨跌幅僅略高于1%。紐約商交所十二月交割的輕質低硫原油期貨下跌近3%。

IEA表示,由于北美原油產量大增,當前原油市場供應充足。但該機構同時指出,考慮到眾所周知的天氣和地緣政治不確定因素,原油市場的過山車式走勢或許還未終結。

IEA稱,成品油需求即將出現季節性增長,煉油廠應在11月和12月大幅提高原油加工量。除此之外,q*許多石油生產大國還面臨著日益嚴峻的生產問題。

唐紹紅摘譯自道瓊斯

原文如下:

DJ IEA Says Seasonal Demand Could Push Up Oil Prices

By Sarah Kent

The International Energy Agency warned Thursday that a seasonal upswing in demand could put upwards pressure on oil prices in the near-term.

"If seasonal cycles in crude and product demand are any guide, the recent easing of prices may be relatively shortlived," the agency said in its monthly report on the oil market.

Since the beginning of the month, the price of December Brent crude futures on London's ICE Futures exchange has fallen just over 1%. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for December delivery has fallen nearly 3%.

Although the Paris-based organization, which advises developed countries on energy policy, said that the oil market is currently well supplied due to surging production in North America, it added that "given proverbial uncertainties about the weather and geopolitics, the market might not be at the end of its rollercoaster ride."

The IEA said that demand for oil products is on the verge of a seasonal increase and refineries should steeply raise the amount of oil they process in November and December. On top of that, many of the world's biggest oil producers face production problems that "continue to relentlessly fester."

標簽: 季節性油價需求  

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